The figures, for anyone assembling their own picture. Keep the original post as written when you update it, and add the correction underneath. An edited-away mistake is invisible to the next person who makes it.
One thing that is still open after Dr.MetabolicMD’s answer:
How would you tell the difference between that and the alternative explanation?
VendorMark said:Keep the original post as written when you update it, and add the correction underneath.
Adding the part of the answer the thread has not reached. If two explanations both fit, the useful question is which one predicts something the other does not. That is answerable; arguing about which sounds more plausible is not.
Happy to go further on any of that.
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For the archive: it took about six weeks rather than the two I expected, and the difference between those two numbers was the whole of my problem.
newstart_MO said:If two explanations both fit, the useful question is which one predicts something the other does not.
newstart_MO has the substance of this right. The condition it depends on is worth stating. Yes, and the corollary is less popular: if the reasoning holds, it also holds where it produces an answer we do not like.
Correct me if the detail matters more than I have assumed.