Adding the clinical framing, because it changes how the question reads. There is a difference between no evidence and evidence of no effect, and this subject is one where the two get swapped freely in both directions.
JenPlateau said:There is a difference between no evidence and evidence of no effect, and this subject is one where the two get swapped freely in both directions.
This is where I part company with the consensus forming above. Filing an objection on the n=1 problem. Personal experience is genuine evidence about one person and very weak evidence about anybody else, and this thread keeps promoting the first into the second.
If somebody has the primary source to hand I would rather cite it than paraphrase it.
JenPlateau said:There is a difference between no evidence and evidence of no effect, and this subject is one where the two get swapped freely in both directions.
That holds where the measurement is reliable. Where it is noisy — and a lot of what gets tracked here is noisy — the same reasoning produces confident nonsense.
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View ResultsJenPlateau said:There is a difference between no evidence and evidence of no effect, and this subject is one where the two get swapped freely in both directions.
That reframing is the part I needed. Sending this to two other people who asked me the same thing last week.