So when is the pill version actually coming? Tired of needles — looking for input

pete_nash said:

It is worth asking what the claim would look like if it were false.

That is right, and it stops being right at the edges. The general case is well behaved; the interesting cases in this thread are all at the boundary where the general case breaks.

PharmD_Rodriguez said:

Agreed, with the usual condition: that holds for the average and this board is a collection of individuals.

Genuinely useful, thank you. I had the facts and not the framework.

pete_nash said:

It is worth asking what the claim would look like if it were false.

Filing a mild objection. Mild because I might be wrong; an objection because nobody has addressed the case that does not fit. Pushing back on the anecdote-stacking. Twenty people reporting the same thing is twenty samples from the same self-selected pool, not twenty independent confirmations.

The figures, for anyone assembling their own picture. Say what you would expect to see if you were wrong, before you look. It is a small discipline and it changes what you notice.

I would rather be corrected than agreed with, if it comes to it.

Moderator note: leaving this open. It is being argued well and the disagreement is the useful part. Carry on.