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ForumsClinical Trials & ResearchClinicalTrials.gov GLP-1 trial tracker — updated weekly Page 3

ClinicalTrials.gov GLP-1 trial tracker — updated weekly

TrialTracker_MD Mon, Feb 26, 2024 at 4:00 PM 411 replies 11,865 viewsPage 3 of 20
MASHdoc_SA
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Feb 29, 2024 at 4:21 AM#11
EndoResFellow said:
Read four things before the headline number.

Thank you for spelling out the reasoning rather than just the conclusion. I will report back once I have actually tried it.

Last edited: Feb 29, 2024 at 7:21 AM
47 20TirzTom, TrialTracker_MD, JennaRN and 44 others
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roxy_nash
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Mar 2, 2024 at 3:34 AM#12

From the other side of the consultation, briefly.

TrialTracker_MD said:
...regarding the trial evidence...

I think this is an underappreciated point. To expand on it with some data:

A recent meta-analysis of 12 RCTs (n=8,400) found that the trial evidence was associated with a significant effect size across diverse patient populations[1].

The NNT was 8, which is comparable to metformin for T2DM prevention. That's a strong clinical argument for this approach.

48 21roxy_nash, tony_orlando, Dr.NephBHM_UK and 45 others
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NurseKim_ATL
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Mar 4, 2024 at 2:46 AM#13
VendorMark said:
The gap between trial results and real-world results is consistent and it is not fraud.

Propensity score matching studies and the trial evidence: when RCTs aren't available for a specific question, propensity score-matched observational studies can provide useful evidence.

A recent PSM study of 25,000 GLP-1 users vs matched controls showed reduced all-cause mortality (HR 0.81) over 5 years of follow-up[1].

These results complement the RCT data and suggest the benefits translate to real-world populations.

References:
[1] Registry-based cohort study, pre-print 2024.
49 22ingrid_STO, pete_nash, hank_denver and 46 others
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DoseLogDan
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Mar 6, 2024 at 1:57 AM#14
TrialTracker_MD said:
ClinicalTrials.gov GLP-1 trial tracker — updated weekly Pinned because it affects plans people have already made, not because it is dramatic.

Forest plot interpretation for the the trial evidence meta-analysis: when reading the pooled estimate, pay attention to:

  1. Point estimate (HR/RR/OR) — center of the diamond
  2. Confidence interval width — precision of the estimate
  3. I² statistic — heterogeneity across studies
  4. Individual study weights — are results driven by one large trial?
  5. Prediction interval — range of plausible true effects in future settings

The the trial evidence meta-analysis shows a pooled RR of 0.73 (95% CI 0.66-0.83), I²=31%. This is a robust and consistent effect.

Last edited: Mar 6, 2024 at 2:57 AM
50 23sophie_paris, mel_PDX, Dr.AddMedPHL and 47 others
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mike_mod
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Mar 8, 2024 at 1:07 AM#15

Moderator note: leaving this open. It is being argued well and the disagreement is the useful part.

Last edited: Mar 8, 2024 at 3:07 AM
1 24PurityPaulOR
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