How far away are we really from an oral option — 12 month update

rachel_ABQ said:

The honest answer is that the effect is real, the magnitude is contested, and the individual variation is larger than either.

There is a second half to this that has not been said yet. It helps to say which part of this you are uncertain about. A precise question gets a precise answer; a general one gets everybody’s favourite anecdote.

The figures, for anyone assembling their own picture. Keep the original post as written when you update it, and add the correction underneath. An edited-away mistake is invisible to the next person who makes it.

Moderator note: good thread. Keeping it here rather than moving it, because the question is general enough to be useful. Tagging this one for the weekly digest.

DanielChem_CHI said:

Keep the original post as written when you update it, and add the correction underneath.

Pushing back on DanielChem_CHI here. Pushing back on the anecdote-stacking. Twenty people reporting the same thing is twenty samples from the same self-selected pool, not twenty independent confirmations.

DanielChem_CHI said:

Keep the original post as written when you update it, and add the correction underneath.

No disagreement, though it depends on where somebody is starting from, and this thread has been assuming a starting point nobody stated.