Answering the narrow version, because the broad one does not have a single answer. The honest answer is that the effect is real, the magnitude is contested, and the individual variation is larger than either. Those three things can all be true at once, and most arguments here are two people holding different parts of that.
Sceptical rather than excited about the triple agonist, and I would like somebody to talk me out of the scepticism with data rather than enthusiasm.
What would genuinely help is knowing why adding glucagon agonism to an anti-obesity drug is not self-defeating, given that glucagon raises blood glucose.
Numbers rather than impressions, if you have them.
Dr.RaviCardio said:The honest answer is that the effect is real, the magnitude is contested, and the individual variation is larger than either.
Agreeing with Dr.RaviCardio, and the qualification matters more than the agreement. The phase 2 numbers were about 24% mean weight loss at 48 weeks on the top dose, with the curve still descending at the end of the study. A curve that has not flattened is a real finding, but it also means the true plateau is unknown, and phase 2 populations are small and selected.
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Browse GL Biochemrick_sfbay said:Sceptical rather than excited about the triple agonist, and I would like somebody to talk me out of the scepticism with data rather than enthusiasm.
This is my experience too, for whatever a second data point is worth. The detail I would add is minor and it is already implied above.
Adding the clinical framing, because it changes how the question reads. It helps to ask what evidence would change your mind before you look at any. If nothing would, the discussion is not about evidence, and it is better to say so early than to spend nine posts discovering it.