EndoResFellow said:It helps to ask what evidence would change your mind before you look at any.
Adding a me-too, because a thread of one person's experience is not much use.
EndoResFellow said:It helps to ask what evidence would change your mind before you look at any.
Coming at EndoResFellow’s question from a different direction. Whatever the answer turns out to be, the method for getting there is the same: state the assumption, do the arithmetic in public, and invite the correction. That is slower than asserting, and it is the only version that survives being wrong.
The figures, for anyone assembling their own picture. Say what you would expect to see if you were wrong, before you look. It is a small discipline and it changes what you notice.
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Shop Reference StandardsFollowing on from EndoResFellow — and this may be the naive question:
How would you tell the difference between that and the alternative explanation?
DanielChem_CHI said:Say what you would expect to see if you were wrong, before you look.
I do not accept the framing. The question has been narrowed to the version that has a tidy answer, and the part that was dropped is the part the OP actually asked about.