Dr.PainCLE said:Start from the measurement rather than the conclusion.
That holds where the measurement is reliable. Where it is noisy — and a lot of what gets tracked here is noisy — the same reasoning produces confident nonsense.
That is the short version; the long version is somebody else's post.
Admin said:The manufacturing argument is the underrated one.
That reframing is the part I needed.
Dr.PainCLE said:Start from the measurement rather than the conclusion.
Pushing back on Dr.PainCLE here. Pushing back on the anecdote-stacking. Twenty people reporting the same thing is twenty samples from the same self-selected pool, not twenty independent confirmations.
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View ResultsOne concrete data point for the thread. The boring version of this is the one that works, and the boring version is: measure a baseline, change one variable, wait, measure again under the same conditions. Nobody wants that answer and it is still the answer.