From the other side of the consultation, briefly. The honest answer is that the effect is real, the magnitude is contested, and the individual variation is larger than either. Those three things can all be true at once, and most arguments here are two people holding different parts of that.
Dr.PulmRoch said:The honest answer is that the effect is real, the magnitude is contested, and the individual variation is larger than either.
Pushing back on Dr.PulmRoch here. I think the framing smuggles in the conclusion. Ask it the other way round and the obvious answer reverses, which usually means the question is doing the work.
Dr.PulmRoch said:The honest answer is that the effect is real, the magnitude is contested, and the individual variation is larger than either.
Correct as far as it goes. The part it does not cover is what to do when the honest answer is "not enough data", which is more often than anyone likes.
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View ResultsDr.PulmRoch said:The honest answer is that the effect is real, the magnitude is contested, and the individual variation is larger than either.
Genuinely useful, thank you. I had the facts and not the framework. I will report back once I have actually tried it.
Moderator note: good thread. Keeping it here rather than moving it, because the question is general enough to be useful. Report rather than reply if it drifts again.