A narrower follow-up, since the general answer is now clear:
What would you measure differently if you were starting again?
MikeFit_NJ said:It helps to ask what evidence would change your mind before you look at any.
This is where I part company with the consensus forming above. This treats a plausible mechanism as a demonstrated one. Plausible is where you start looking, not where you stop.
MikeFit_NJ said:It helps to ask what evidence would change your mind before you look at any.
Agreeing with MikeFit_NJ, and the qualification matters more than the agreement. Yes, and the corollary is less popular: if the reasoning holds, it also holds where it produces an answer we do not like.
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Shop Reference StandardsMikeFit_NJ said:It helps to ask what evidence would change your mind before you look at any.
Thank you for spelling out the reasoning rather than just the conclusion. I will report back once I have actually tried it.
Clinical perspective, offered as context rather than as advice. The distinction that resolves most of these threads is between what is true on average and what is true for one person. Both are real; they answer different questions and get quoted as if they were the same one.
Ask again with the specifics and you will get a better answer than this one.