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ForumsPublic SquareGLP-1 for type 1 diabetes as adjunct — any emerging data?

GLP-1 for type 1 diabetes as adjunct — any emerging data?

EndoResFellow Tue, Mar 10, 2026 at 7:36 AM 6 replies 759 viewsPage 1 of 2
EndoResFellow
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Mar 10, 2026 at 7:36 AM#1

I keep finding that the number in the press summary and the number in the paper are not the same number, and the difference is always in the same direction.

A quick sanity check on any figure quoted here: is it mean or median, is it intention-to-treat or completers, and what was the comparator. Three questions, and they resolve most disagreements in these threads.

What would genuinely help is knowing how to read a result like this without either dismissing it or over-reading it, since the summaries all read like press releases.

Happy to be told the question itself is wrong.

35 5robert_kc, dan_philly, MeganSA_TX and 32 others
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Dr.PeteFamMed
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Mar 10, 2026 at 9:32 AM#2

Short answer first, then the reasoning. The gap between trial results and real-world results is consistent and it is not fraud. Trial participants get titration by protocol, scheduled contact, free drug and dietetic support; removing that infrastructure costs a few percentage points every time it has been measured. When your own curve sits below the published mean, that is the likeliest explanation before anything about you or your material.

34 4tommy_boulder, hyun_seoul, jim_asheville and 31 others
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marcus_mpls
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Mar 10, 2026 at 11:28 AM#3
Dr.PeteFamMed said:
The gap between trial results and real-world results is consistent and it is not fraud.

Bayesian meta-analysis perspective on the trial evidence: traditional frequentist meta-analyses report point estimates and confidence intervals. Bayesian approaches provide probability distributions that are more intuitive for clinical decision-making.

For example: "There is a 98.5% probability that semaglutide 2.4mg produces >10% weight loss vs placebo" is more actionable than "RR 3.4, 95% CI 2.8-4.1, p<0.001."

The the trial evidence evidence is strong under both frameworks, but Bayesian analysis better communicates the degree of certainty for individual patient counseling.

33 3tane_welly, Dr.PathRoch, mona_PHX and 30 others
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alex_tucson
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Mar 10, 2026 at 1:25 PM#4
EndoResFellow said:
I keep finding that the number in the press summary and the number in the paper are not the same number, and the difference is always in the same…

Can confirm the pattern EndoResFellow describes. Read four things before the headline number. The population, because trial populations are selected and supported in ways that real cohorts are not. The comparator, because "better than placebo" and "better than the current standard" are different claims and get reported identically. The primary endpoint as pre-registered, because a secondary endpoint promoted after the fact is a hypothesis rather than a finding. And the completion rate, because a large effect in the half of participants who finished is a different result from a large effect in everybody enrolled.

32 2ricardo_MIA, BrianDallas92, labquiet_amy and 29 others
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Dr.EndoIndy
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Mar 11, 2026 at 12:55 AM#5

From the other side of the consultation, briefly.

Propensity score matching studies and the trial evidence: when RCTs aren't available for a specific question, propensity score-matched observational studies can provide useful evidence.

A recent PSM study of 12,000 GLP-1 users vs matched controls showed reduced MI incidence (HR 0.78) over 3 years of follow-up[1].

These results complement the RCT data and suggest the benefits translate to real-world populations.

References:
[1] Registry-based cohort study, pre-print 2024.
31 1SandraNC_45, Dr.EndoIndy, tom_AK and 28 others
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